NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Mercer, a business of Marsh McLennan (NYSE: MMC) and a global leader in helping clients realize their investment objectives, shape the future of work and enhance health and retirement outcomes for their people, today released new research, Future of the U.S. Healthcare Industry: Labor Market Projections by 2028.

纽约--（商业新闻短讯）--马什·麦克伦南（纽约证券交易所代码：MMC）旗下的美世公司，是帮助客户实现投资目标、塑造工作未来、提高人民健康和退休水平的全球领导者，今天发布了一项新的研究，名为《美国医疗保健行业的未来：2028年劳动力市场预测》。

The report projects a nationwide healthcare worker shortage of 100,000 by 2028..

该报告预测，到2028年，全国医疗保健人员短缺将达到10万人。。

Even before COVID-19, the US healthcare labor market faced challenges with the demand for professionals in healthcare occupations outpacing supply. Mercer’s new report highlights how factors such as accelerated resignations, burnout among healthcare workers, an aging population and wages that lag the broader labor market are contributing to the decline in labor supply in certain states, particularly for primary care physicians, advanced practice providers1 and nurses..

甚至在新型冠状病毒肺炎之前，美国医疗保健劳动力市场就面临着对医疗保健职业专业人员的需求超过供应的挑战。美世公司的新报告强调了加速辞职、医护人员职业倦怠、人口老龄化和工资滞后于更广泛的劳动力市场等因素是如何导致某些州劳动力供应下降的，尤其是初级保健医生、高级实践提供者和护士。。

“A shortage of 100,000 healthcare workers will exacerbate existing disparities in healthcare access in certain states,” said Dan Lezotte, a Partner in Mercer’s US Workforce Strategy and Analytics Practice. “It is imperative that healthcare systems take action and develop strategies to address shortages so patient care is not impacted.”.

美世美国劳动力战略和分析实践的合伙人丹·莱佐特（DanLezotte）表示：“10万名医护人员的短缺将加剧某些州在医疗保健服务方面存在的差距。”。“医疗保健系统必须采取行动并制定战略来解决短缺问题，以便不影响患者护理。”。

The analysis emphasizes the importance of having a strong workforce strategy to compete both with other healthcare organizations and with employers in other industries. To combat labor shortages, employers will need to develop comprehensive strategic plans and innovative tactics for attracting and retaining talent, encompassing strong compensation and benefits packages and creative ways of sourcing talent, redesigning work, optimizing schedules and more..

该分析强调了制定强有力的劳动力战略以与其他医疗机构和其他行业雇主竞争的重要性。为了应对劳动力短缺，雇主需要制定全面的战略计划和创新策略来吸引和留住人才，包括强有力的薪酬和福利待遇以及创造性的人才采购方式、重新设计工作、优化时间表等。。

It is also crucial for healthcare systems and governments to work together to address specific labor gaps across locations and occupations, including subspecialties within healthcare labor, such as physicians who specialize in women’s health or young children. Through collaboration, states can close these gaps and create stronger healthcare systems..

对于医疗保健系统和政府来说，共同努力解决不同地区和职业之间的特定劳动力差距也至关重要，包括医疗保健劳动力中的子专业，例如专门研究妇女健康或幼儿的医生。通过合作，各州可以缩小这些差距，创建更强大的医疗保健系统。。

State disparities in primary care subspecialties

初级保健子专业的国家差异

The analysis finds that access to qualified primary care will vary across the US. Deficits in specialized primary care physicians — such as obstetrician-gynecologists (OB-GYNs), pediatricians and family medicine doctors — will be acute in certain states. For example, despite an overall surplus of healthcare workers, California is expected to face a shortage of over 2,500 primary care physicians, with pediatricians and family medicine physicians accounting for more than half of this shortage, creating barriers to accessing specialized primary care..

分析发现，美国各地获得合格初级保健的机会各不相同。在某些州，专业初级保健医生（如妇产科医生、儿科医生和家庭医生）的赤字将非常严重。例如，尽管医疗保健工作者总体过剩，但预计加利福尼亚州将面临2500多名初级保健医生的短缺，儿科医生和家庭医学医生占这一短缺的一半以上，为获得专业初级保健创造了障碍。。

A severe shortage of nursing assistants expected nationally

全国预计护理助理严重短缺

Nursing assistants have the biggest projected deficit over any other analyzed healthcare occupation, signaling the need to improve talent attraction and retention strategies for this segment. By 2028, Mercer expects a projected deficit of over 73,000 nursing assistants nationwide. The slow growth rate (0.1%) of nursing assistants, particularly in states such as New York, Texas and California, where shortages of over 11,000, 12,000 and 14,000 workers respectively are projected, will directly impact patient care and the burnout and attrition rates of other healthcare workers that depend on them..

与任何其他分析过的医疗保健职业相比，护理助理的预计赤字最大，这表明需要改进这一细分市场的人才吸引和保留策略。到2028年，美世预计全国护理助理的缺口将超过73000名。护理助理的缓慢增长率（0.1%），特别是在纽约、德克萨斯和加利福尼亚等州，预计分别有超过11000、12000和14000名工人短缺，这将直接影响患者护理以及依赖他们的其他医护人员的倦怠和流失率。。

Surplus of registered nurses (RNs) and home health and personal care aides (HHAs)

注册护士（RNs）和家庭健康和个人护理助理（HHAs）过剩

At a national level, the supply of RNs is projected to outpace demand, resulting in an estimated surplus of nearly 30,000 RNs by 2028. However, employers in states such as New York, New Jersey and Connecticut will experience shortages and may look to Pennsylvania for supply.

。然而，纽约、新泽西和康涅狄格州等州的雇主将面临短缺，可能会寻求宾夕法尼亚州的供应。

Encouragingly, the labor supply of HHAs is projected to exceed demand nationally by almost 48,000 workers by 2028, with an average annual growth rate of 3.4%. However, healthcare employers will be competing with many other industries for these lower-wage workers and may find it difficult to hire them unless wages are competitive..

令人鼓舞的是，到2028年，HHAs的劳动力供应预计将超过全国需求近48000人，年均增长率为3.4%。然而，医疗保健雇主将与许多其他行业竞争这些低工资工人，除非工资具有竞争力，否则很难雇用他们。。

Nurse practitioners on the rise but shortages expected

护士从业人员在增加，但预计会短缺

Nurse practitioners are expected to have the fastest growth rate (3.5%). Despite this growth, however, the analysis projects a nationwide shortage of nurse practitioners. The combined impact of both nurse practitioner and physician shortages may disrupt preventative care delivery in some states.

预计护士从业人员的增长速度最快（3.5%）。然而，尽管有这种增长，但分析预测全国护士从业人员短缺。执业护士和医生短缺的综合影响可能会破坏某些州的预防保健服务。

William Self, a Partner and Mercer’s Global Workforce Strategy and Analytics Leader, said, “American healthcare workers are under enormous strain. Burnout, under-compensation and wage stagnation have had material impacts on the supply of healthcare labor.”

合伙人、美世全球劳动力战略和分析主管威廉·赛尔夫（WilliamSelf）表示：“美国医护人员面临巨大压力。职业倦怠、薪酬不足和工资停滞对医护人员的供应产生了重大影响。”

Mr. Self continued, “Prolonged inflation in healthcare costs, combined with these critical labor shortages, could present an existential threat to some healthcare systems. The inability to attract the right healthcare labor will make operating in certain locations much more difficult and increase health equity gaps, like those between rural and urban populations.”.

赛尔夫先生继续说道，“医疗保健成本的长期通货膨胀，再加上这些严重的劳动力短缺，可能对某些医疗保健系统构成生存威胁。无法吸引正确的医疗保健劳动力，将使某些地区的经营更加困难，并增加医疗保健公平差距，如农村和城市人口之间的差距。”。

View an interactive map of Mercer’s US healthcare labor projections across a sample of healthcare occupations here.

在这里查看美世在医疗保健行业样本中的美国医疗保健劳动力预测的交互式地图。

About the Report

关于报告

The Future of the U.S. Healthcare Industry: Labor Market Projections by 2028 provides a comprehensive examination of the changing labor market for healthcare occupations across all 50 states, utilizing a combination of Mercer research, publicly available data and data provided by Lightcast. Find more information here..

美国医疗保健行业的未来：2028年劳动力市场预测利用美世研究、公开数据和Lightcast提供的数据，对所有50个州医疗保健职业不断变化的劳动力市场进行了全面检查。在此处查找更多信息。。

About Mercer

关于美世

Mercer, a business of Marsh McLennan (NYSE: MMC), is a global leader in helping clients realize their investment objectives, shape the future of work and enhance health and retirement outcomes for their people. Marsh McLennan is a global leader in risk, strategy and people, advising clients in 130 countries across four businesses: Marsh, Guy Carpenter, Mercer and Oliver Wyman.

Mercer是Marsh McLennan（纽约证券交易所代码：MMC）的一家公司，在帮助客户实现投资目标、塑造工作未来以及提高员工健康和退休水平方面，是全球领先企业。马什·麦克伦南（MarshMcLennan）是风险、战略和人力领域的全球领导者，为130个国家的客户提供四大业务咨询：马什（Marsh）、盖伊·卡彭特（GuyCarpenter）、美世（Mercer）和奥利弗·怀曼（OliverWyman）。

With annual revenue of $23 billion and more than 85,000 colleagues, Marsh McLennan helps build the confidence to thrive through the power of perspective. For more information, visit mercer.com, or follow on LinkedIn and X..

马什·麦克伦南（Marsh McLennan）拥有230亿美元的年收入和85000多名同事，帮助建立信心，通过透视的力量蓬勃发展。有关更多信息，请访问mercer.com，或关注LinkedIn和X。。

1 Advanced practice providers, such as nurse practitioners or physician assistants, perform medical activities typically performed by a physician.

1高级实践提供者，如护士从业者或医生助理，通常由医生进行医疗活动。